Probabilistic GOP Candidate Rankings (user search)
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Author Topic: Probabilistic GOP Candidate Rankings  (Read 3924 times)
Padfoot
padfoot714
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Posts: 4,531
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: -6.96
« on: December 10, 2007, 02:43:47 AM »
As of Dec. 9th

Huckabee: 45%
Romney: 30%
Giuliani: 20%
McCain: 5%
Others: no chance
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Padfoot
padfoot714
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,531
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: -6.96
« Reply #1 on: December 12, 2007, 12:31:07 AM »
Quote from: politicaltipster on December 11, 2007, 10:06:03 AM
Bit surprised about the fact that Romney chances are rated in the 40s. If he can't win either the IA or NH primaries, surely he's dead?

I would also dispute the idea that the GOP can't carry any blue state in 2008. Surely McCain could swing NH, Oregon and have a good chance of winning PA, MI (and with Lieberman on the ticket) CT?

Every poll since August has shown Romney leading in NH so I'm not sure why you are assuming he can't win there.
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