The Republicans will win NH if one of these two situtation happen:
1. Guiliani is the Republican nominee.
2. John Edwards is the Democratic nominee. His tax and spend theory will sour the NH voters.
And Guliani's support of the war won't sour them? Seriously people, anyone who thinks a pro-war Rudy is going to win anything in New England must have been asleep during the 2006 election. Any and all pro-war candidates WILL LOSE HEAVILY in New England in 2008. Unless there is some sort of miraculous turn around in the next two years, all of New England is going to be heavily Democratic.