Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[Hammy]

LOL at all the red avatars from Midwestern and Northeastern dumps coping by spamming the Bugs Bunny Florida GIF

"How dare this growing, diverse state not vote for us?"

Nothing takes away our appeal as one of the most popular states in the country that is one of the best states to live in

Pretty much this ^

Blowing off the state as 'stupid' or 'weird' is a tad arrogant.

I promised myself I wouldn't post here tonight but this can't stand, Florida is in fact an utter dumpster of a state, and it has nothing to do with politics--I felt exactly the same when the politics agreed with me as I do now

The people there are infinitely worse than anybody this forum, regardless of political stance

[Hammy]

I STILL don't understand why the in-person same day vote would favor Rs so much. It never did before COVID. You can't convince me THAT many Dems are still locked in bubbles over COVID. So what's going on???

Something major happens that changes people's habits, and once that factor is gone, people stay in those habits they've settled into. Most people who got used to not going to the polls on election day will stay the course if there's nothing to jolt them back out of these new habits.

[Hammy]

Let's see if the West is any better for the GOP. Gas prices were higher on average there, but I will admit Ds are overperforming my expectations.

Gas is always high out west

[Hammy]

NBC changes WI SEN to "too close to call."

What was it before?

There is not an EFFING chance WI goes Dem

You are contributing literally nothing to this thread and seem angry at the prospects that your doomer predictions of absolute worst case scenario has not played out

You seriously need to take a break from this form for awhile, like months or years

[Hammy]

DDHQ called it for Maggie Hassan (D-NH).

Down goes my 'add two points to the GOP poll numbers' methodology, seems like this wasn't the best year to use that

[Hammy]

In Georgia, much of Forsyth has reported; Walton the only large remaining county for the Republicans.  Meanwhile, plenty of vote left in Fulton, DeKalb, Gwinnett, and Bibb. 

Walker ahead by about 30,000, but the Libertarian with over 70,000 votes.

Guaranteed runoff at this point?

[Hammy]

Is there an up to date source that shows which house seats have flipped? DDHQ seems to have made more calls but don't have a flip map like CNN does

[Hammy]

I remember when some people pretended WA-SEN, CO-SEN, NH-SEN, and NY-GOV would all be competitive races, and some especially smug "red wave" posters thought it was inevitable they'd all be closer than WI-SEN/GOV for example.

Ah yes, earlier today.

Good times.

I was deceived by the election mafia into thinking this would be something of a Republican wave, but I never fell for all the fake polls saying that Republicans were competitive in the safe blue states.

I remember just days ago CNN hit the panic button with a "NY Dems expecting huge losses in governors race" headline

[Hammy]

are we unironically getting a 303 map not a 242 map

OH MY GOD DONT ENCOURAGE HIM PLEASE

dude touch some grass

[Hammy]

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1590197292421767168

In other news, Roy Cooper says the Republicans failed to gain a majority in the NC legislature.

Is that a flip or was it already D?

[Hammy]

Did Musk's "vote republican" message backfire?

[Hammy]

If RonJon wins, it's because apparently Milwaukee cast 40K FEWER votes than in 2018...

Dane has to continue being basically perfect if this becomes a trend.

Low turnout? Or simply more people leaving the city or state?

[Hammy]

The GOP ****** this election up by pandering to the religious extremists on abortion. Ironically Mike DeWine, popular because of his "moderate" image, is one of the few Republicans not to be impacted by this even though he perhaps deserves more blame than anyone because that asinine bill he signed produced at least half of the "raped minors denied abortion" headlines that caused this backlash nationwide.

Agreed, though the election denialism (and the GOP extremism generally - on abortion, on the election, on everything) also played a big role. Your point about DeWine is spot-on. He maintains an undeserved moderate image and doesn't get nearly enough blame for signing OH's monstrous abortion bill into law in the first place.

I have to wonder if that was a factor in Abrams loss--not a good look to have somebody who called the legitimacy of an election on your side when you're campaigning against election denialism, when it comes to elections, image is everything.

[Hammy]

meddling in the primaries confirmed as GOOD

https://twitter.com/Robillard/status/1590238360534413317

But I was told by Yankee that if democracy dies, it will be Democrats' fault because of this genius 3D chess move...

Much to my surprise this was a masterful move

[Hammy]

Has Oz conceded yet?

Nope. He literally just shut down his event and went home.

never seen a losing candidate full on ragequit before

[Hammy]

Needle is now out of toss-up and in "Leaning Dem" range.

Senate or House?

[Hammy]

Why are the county "percent counted" so much lower than state numbers?

[Hammy]

Signing off for the night, otherwise I'm going to end up skipping sleep

Final thoughts:

Nevada looks like slightly over 50/50 chance of a Dem hold based on the numbers there
Arizona was disappointing, looked promising earlier, seems like it'll be the first GOP pickup
Georgia's definitely going to a runoff but I'm pessimistic there as the Dems did well in the runoff only due to Trump tainting mail-in voting for the GOP, I don't see anything like that happening this time

51-49 Senate seems the most likely outcome at this point
House definitely looks like a narrower GOP majority than expected, hopefully Dems can pick off Boebert but that's also looking less likely than earlier.

This turned out to be one of my less stressful election nights, in part due to my expectations being so low and the GOP underperforming, though things are starting to go south out west

[Hammy]

Finally got away from weather watching and checking the races today, can't see any difference (other than Wisconsin was apparently called), can somebody give me a summarized update

[Hammy]

Any word on when we'll get the rest of Arizona and Nevada votes counted?

[Hammy]

Am I just sleep deprived or is there actually a shot at Arizona Senate becoming extremely close if not outright winnable for Masters?

There's always been a shot. But from what I can tell it doesn't seem any more or less likely than it did earlier and will likely come down to the last votes. I don't anticipate this being clearer in either direction prior to that unless there's a huge vote dump for one of them.

[Hammy]

Boebert is 62 votes behind.

Probably safe to call it for Boebert now

[Hammy]

So uh... I guess we're not gonna know who officially controls either chamber this evening, but we can probably assume Democrats hold the Senate and the House flips?

I'm tired of checking this thread every five minutes, and like after any other election I'm just exhausted.

I wouldn't say "assume", but I would be actively surprised by anything else.

We won't know for weeks, while CA counts its votes.

Why does California always take so long? It feels like they have one person counting each county

[Hammy]

It’s really shocking how slowly Maryland counts their votes and nobody seems to care.

If Maryland ever ended up close, it would certainly get noticed and become an issue.

[Hammy]

I told you all Otero would end Frisch, its just too red.

You told us all a bunch of things that turned out to have not happened so from you it's meaningless, especially when you call the game after it's over