Does the recent gun massacre of 50+ LGBT people in Orlando, Florida... (user search)
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  Does the recent gun massacre of 50+ LGBT people in Orlando, Florida... (search mode)
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Question: ... swing the race more towards Clinton or Trump?
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#2
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Total Voters: 158

Author Topic: Does the recent gun massacre of 50+ LGBT people in Orlando, Florida...  (Read 11299 times)
Hammy
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« on: June 12, 2016, 02:28:41 PM »

Let's see... A hateful, homophobic radical DEMOCRAT ISLAMIC TERRORIST  goes into a GUN FREE ZONE and shoots up a bunch of gay people because he can't stand to watch two men kissing.... And he pledges allegiance to ISIS on a 911 call before he does the shooting.

Yeah... Hillary! will definitely be the one that ends up with the political mojo on this... NOT.

Trump has railed against Gun Free Zones and terrorism ad nausuem during this campaign. Just like in the primaries, it's right in his wheel house.

Funny you call him a Democrat and then mention he shoots people because he can't stand seeing two men kiss--which party is it though that demonizes gays nonstop? You need to take a look in a mirror before making another such post.
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Hammy
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Posts: 11,702
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« Reply #1 on: June 12, 2016, 05:44:37 PM »

I expect Trump to be 5 points ahead of Clinton at the end of this week's polls.



It's honestly entirely possible, you could have something like a couple of 43-39 polls come out until the media beats this to death and people become sick of hearing about it and move on.
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Hammy
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Posts: 11,702
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« Reply #2 on: June 12, 2016, 09:42:08 PM »

Expected turnout is 66% and gays vote 70% for Hillary, but since this is Trump, and these gays are Hispanic, they will vote 641% for Hillary plus the gunman was a Democrat and since Florida is the state that the election hinges on, .66*6.41*50+gunman=213 votes lost, which does help Trump, but it is less than Bush's margin so the odds of these voters swinging the election has to be no more than 2.5%. /asperger'd

When will people learn there is a time for things?

You're now blocked for essentially implying anyone with aspergers is a retard. (The only person to have that distinction.)
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Hammy
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Posts: 11,702
United States


« Reply #3 on: June 13, 2016, 03:55:12 AM »

I think this could have helped him slightly, but because of the way he responded to the events, in the typical insensible and disrespectful narcissistic Trump fashion, it'll probably end up working against him. Some Bernie diehards in my Facebook are now willing to vote for HRC to stop him because of today.


The trouble is, for every Bernie supporter this brings over to Clinton, there's a conservative who hated Trump but now agrees with his blister on terrorism and has decided to support him in the fall.

I mean, look at what Green Line was posting today and tell me that the political conversation around the events of last night would not at least help polarize the country and push people like him back into Trump's orbit. You can't, really.

So who wins?

The end result is likely that this will have little to no impact beyond potential short-term Trump boost by a point or so. May be a some undecideds that answer Trump out of emotional reaction, but settle back to undecided after a few days or weeks of Trump continuing to be himself.
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