Unlikely.
Sure, inflation has hit this state hard (particularly in housing) but for all the talk about Nevada being less educated than Texas people seem to be overlooking another factor: secular vs. religious.
Texas has MILLIONS of evangelical voters. In Nevada that percentage is much lower and while there are Mormons they are nowhere near the numbers they are in Utah and Idaho.
According to this Wikipedia article 40% say they are unaffiliated (basically atheist/agnostic). And if that's not enough there's this info we should consider:
https://www.prri.org/research/abortion-views-in-all-50-states-findings-from-prris-2023-american-values-atlas/According to the map for Abortion legality 76% of Nevadans support "in all or most cases". This makes Nevada (according to this data at least) TIED with Vermont for Second Place and right after Massachusetts. By contrast only 56% of Texans support Abortion Legality in "all or most cases". When we look at the map for Abortion Illegality it looks even more jarring: Only TWO PERCENT of Nevada voters oppose abortion in all cases while 11% of Texans oppose abortion in all cases. Granted, "all or most cases" is pretty broad and "all" is absolute but this does show an area that often gets overlooked in analyzing these two states in terms of electability.
Nevada could vote to the right of Texas, but it'd require several things to happen. Namely, the GOP adopting a much more secular aesthetic to appeal to voters with "soft libertarian" views.
