Georgia's Very Own Megathread!

[Nutmeg]

People are really overestimating Abrams here.

Agreed. Anecdotes don't decide elections, but a decent share of people I know in Georgia who voted for Biden, Warnock, and Ossoff don't care for Abrams after she refused to concede the 2018 election. Granted, these people largely are country club Republican types who live in Buckhead and Sandy Springs who retain some Republican affinity, but most of them did vote for Abrams 3 years ago.

[Nutmeg]

Early vote thus far is breaking 57/43 R. In NC, early vote broke 50/50 before becoming 55/45 R after election day was counted. It's probable R's may break 60% in GA, with the key differences here being the open primary, and that there's much more contention on the Republican side.

Most people I know in Georgia (my home state) are pulling Republican ballots to vote for Kemp and Raffensperger, and against Walker, even if they plan to vote straight-ticket Dem in November.