NV-SEN: NYT/Siena Rosen +2 (user search)
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June 20, 2024, 11:26:39 PM
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  NV-SEN: NYT/Siena Rosen +2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NV-SEN: NYT/Siena Rosen +2  (Read 524 times)
wbrocks67
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« on: May 13, 2024, 09:21:23 AM »

Incumbent Senator at 40% is bad, but NV polls generally overstate the GOP


If the Trump number is accurate I can't see Rosen holding on, but i'm skeptical it is. Pure tossup. 

Yup, though the results could be similar to 2022 senate and governor. Rosen is CCM and Biden is Sisolak. Either way I expect neither winner at the presidential and senate level to reach 50%.

I also feel like we got a lot of polls in 2022 of the same, where Cortez Masto was only at 40-45%
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wbrocks67
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Posts: 23,344


« Reply #1 on: May 13, 2024, 06:08:41 PM »

This is the one race where I don’t understand the Trump-Rosen voters. The other states kind of make sense. Rosen is a freshman without much of a profile and is very generic running against Brown, who is probably the least problematic of the Republican Senate candidates in the major states aside from Rogers.

It's almost as if they're probably not real Trump voters
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