Trumps own internal had Biden +4 in a H2H? Yeah it's not happening lol
I mean the average of the 2 way and the 4 way is right in line with 2022 aggregate results in VA. And there have been a ton of polls with Republicans overperforming the national swing in the South, sometimes dramatically. The military vote also snapped back right in 2022. I don't think a 2022 or 2012 style result in VA is crazy at all.
I don't think it's crazy, but if Trump's own internal has it at Biden +3/4, and 2022 - a harder year for Reps - was D+3, there's a lot pointing to it at least being a few more points blue than both of those.
