538 added these.... oh
2022 all over again lol
It’s a wack poll but they are rated ok by 538. Where do you draw the line to exclude? The Pennsylvania and Arizona polls aren’t that extreme, but the WI and MI polls are. Do you only let in some, even though they’ve been conducted with the same methodology? It’s a new regime at 538 and Morris has a different approach than Nate Silver and he still includes them. A good polling average will discount outliers anyway.
I would think so, but the polling average seems really sensitive; Wisconsin shifted nearly 1.5% just based on this one poll. An outlier shouldn't shift the average that much if it's counting for outliers.
EDIT: also the Kristi Noem and abortion results are just... whack lmao
Across all states, South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem consistently emerges as a formidable presidential running mate. This point is especially true in the key battleground state of Wisconsin, where Noem’s net favorability of +16 (45/29) indicates significant approval and awareness of the work she has done in South Dakota. Further showing Noem’s potential positive impact to a presidential ticket, Noem was the only potential VP candidate who garnered a positive favorability rating in all four states polled - Arizona (+8), Michigan (+12), Pennsylvania (+13), and Wisconsin (+16).
Kristi Noem with a nearly 50% favorability in Wisconsin... so true!