Did dems have a better night in New Jersey than Virginia? (user search)
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  Did dems have a better night in New Jersey than Virginia? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Better night for dems
#1
New Jersey
 
#2
Virginia
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 23

Author Topic: Did dems have a better night in New Jersey than Virginia?  (Read 710 times)
wbrocks67
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« on: November 08, 2023, 11:05:35 AM »

I know that the NJ State Senate Generic Ballot was D +6, about a 10 point swing right from 2020. I'm not sure about VA, but it looks like around a tie, also a 10 swing right from 2020. So I'm not sure.

Why do people keep comparing these #s to presidential #s? They are not comparable. Downballot in these states tends to be much different at times than presidential, especially with Trump on the ticket.
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wbrocks67
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Posts: 22,648


« Reply #1 on: November 08, 2023, 11:06:38 AM »

I would say Dems though did have a better night in NJ simply just based on expectations. The predictions had Ds winning both in VA, and that's what happened. The predictions by most nonpartisan outlets were pretty spot on. Meanwhile, I don't think many people expected NJ Dems to flip so many seats. Both are obviously wins, but the NJ one is more of an overperformance imo vs. VA Dems doing what they needed to do.
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