wbrocks67
Atlas Star
Posts: 23,203
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« on: November 03, 2022, 01:34:04 PM » |
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I mean, looking at the data - in 2018, there wasn't much mail (if any at all?) and the pre-election day early vote he touts was D+47,000
This year though the early vote extends all the way into next Friday technically, because that's when mail in ballots can be counted until. But even if you just take pre-election day, that goes thru Tuesday morning.
Early in person ends tomorrow. Say Ds are at about +25,000 by then. We still have Sat, Sun, Mon, Tue mail to be counted.... which could easily inflate the firewall since there is no in person voting.
Theoretically you could have up to like D+40,000 by Tuesday, not that from from 2018's figure.
Who knows what will happen, but it's a total apples to oranges comparison when you're comparing a year that the early vote is totally done pre-election day and this year, we've still got a ton of mail to count.
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