Marist OH-SEN: Vance+1

[wbrocks67]

They really put out a RV poll two weeks before an election lmfao

Bold strategy cotton

"definitely voting" is somewhat more helpful, but they also should just have an LV model that includes "definitely" and "likely" voting from their questionaire

[wbrocks67]

It's interesting though how Siena and Marist show the same result in the Senate race, but Siena shows a much stronger peformance for DeWine (+24) compared to Marist (+13)

[wbrocks67]

Top issues among RV:
Inflation - 46%
Preserving democracy - 21%
Abortion - 19%
Health care - 6%
Crime - 4%
Immigration - 4%

This is why the "vibe shift" or "GOP winning on all the top issues" narrative is a bit bunked. It changes quite a bit from state to state and poll to poll depending on how the question is asked. To act as if things like democracy and abortion aren't mattering to voters is just untrue. And even here - supposed top GOP national issues like crime and immigration are not resonating.