2022 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread (user search)
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Author Topic: 2022 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread  (Read 171855 times)
wbrocks67
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Posts: 22,676
« Reply #525 on: November 07, 2022, 08:53:10 PM »
Civiqs looks like it's gonna end up with D+3, 50-47

https://civiqs.com/results/vote_house_generic_2022_lv?uncertainty=true&annotations=true&zoomIn=true

They have:

18-34: D+20 (57-37)
35-49: D+6 (51-45)
50-64: R+8 (52-44)
65+: D+4 (51-47)

Females: D+18 (57-39)
Males: R+14 (55-41)
Independents: R+4 (48-44)

Whites: R+15 (56-41)
Blacks: D+80 (88-8)
Hispanic/Latino: D+27 (61-34)
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wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,676
« Reply #526 on: November 07, 2022, 10:32:35 PM »
Quote from: Extremely confused and tired Darthpi on November 07, 2022, 10:29:07 PM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on November 07, 2022, 08:53:10 PM
Civiqs looks like it's gonna end up with D+3, 50-47

https://civiqs.com/results/vote_house_generic_2022_lv?uncertainty=true&annotations=true&zoomIn=true

They have:

18-34: D+20 (57-37)
35-49: D+6 (51-45)
50-64: R+8 (52-44)
65+: D+4 (51-47)

Females: D+18 (57-39)
Males: R+14 (55-41)
Independents: R+4 (48-44)

Whites: R+15 (56-41)
Blacks: D+80 (88-8)
Hispanic/Latino: D+27 (61-34)

I wish I could live in a world where things would make sense and this could be the actual result.

I mean, FWIW, when we've gotten oversamples of young voters and latino voters, the results have looked more like that than most of the national polls subsamples
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