FL-Monmouth: Biden CLOBBERS Trump in Florida (+5) (user search)
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  FL-Monmouth: Biden CLOBBERS Trump in Florida (+5) (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-Monmouth: Biden CLOBBERS Trump in Florida (+5)  (Read 2606 times)
wbrocks67
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« on: October 29, 2020, 12:05:43 PM »

Only 17% now say they will vote on election day with a huge surge for in-person early vote to 44%. This explains why Republicans are doing so well there.

Was just gonna say this. If only 17% are voting Election Day, that means both parties are severely cannibalizing their voters already. Which means the Ds lead looks even stronger right now in EV.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2020, 12:11:20 PM »

Also important since NPAs are big in FL - Biden is +14 among them. Reversal of 2016.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2 on: October 29, 2020, 12:24:32 PM »

Nice to see but I doubt anyone wins in FL by 5. Monmouth is high quality but still tends to have a bit of D bias. The most likely outcome is Biden +2 or 3.

Not really true. Monmouth has been pretty bearish on Trump for most of the cycle.
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