FL - Rasmussen/Pulse: Trump +4 (user search)
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  FL - Rasmussen/Pulse: Trump +4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL - Rasmussen/Pulse: Trump +4  (Read 1668 times)
wbrocks67
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Posts: 23,257


« on: October 23, 2020, 09:36:38 AM »

Great way to screw up the aggregate Smiley
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wbrocks67
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*****
Posts: 23,257


« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2020, 09:57:03 AM »

I have to admit, even though this is Rasmussen, I'm getting a bit concerned about Florida. It seems to be trending the wrong way relative to the other battleground states. I still think Biden wins there, because really if he's leading by 9-10 nationally he certainly should be leading in Florida, but it feels a bit more like Tilt Biden than Lean Biden right now.

Huh?

Last A/B rated polls of FL:

Biden +7
Biden +4
Biden +4
Biden +1
Biden +3
Biden +4
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wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,257


« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2020, 10:09:03 AM »

I have to admit, even though this is Rasmussen, I'm getting a bit concerned about Florida. It seems to be trending the wrong way relative to the other battleground states. I still think Biden wins there, because really if he's leading by 9-10 nationally he certainly should be leading in Florida, but it feels a bit more like Tilt Biden than Lean Biden right now.

Huh?

Last A/B rated polls of FL:

Biden +7
Biden +4
Biden +4
Biden +1
Biden +3
Biden +4


I know where the high-quality polls are, but still, the split between the high-quality and low-quality polls shouldn't be quite as large as it has been lately. Something seems a bit off.

This is happening all over with different states. The high quality polls are averaging about Biden +4. That's where the average has been for a while now, an uptick from a few months ago when it went down to Biden +1/2.

Just like in PA. Low quality pollsters have it at like Biden +2/3 while the HQ ones have it at like 7/8. It's just bc we're getting a ton of sh!tty pollsters.
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