CONGRESSIONAL RESULTS MEGA THREAD

[KaiserDave]

Wasserman is clueless about ny22

There are still potentially over 2k votes left

It’s over for tenney

Where do you see that?

If that's true, that's the ballgame.

[KaiserDave]

Roll you would like Richard Hanna the guy before Tenney.

She challenged him in 2014 and lost, but he retired in 2016 and died this year.

Edit: He was awesome. Opposed extending the Patriot Act, supported same-sex marriage, opposed cuts to NPR and supported ERA.

[KaiserDave]

If there's any vote batches out that total even just a few hundred ballots, it's over.

I doubt this is it.

[KaiserDave]

Wasserman is clueless about ny22

There are still potentially over 2k votes left

It’s over for tenney

Where do you see that?

If that's true, that's the ballgame.

https://twitter.com/JRosenblattTV/status/1329455538388799492

He's claiming that there are still ballots to count in Herkimer, Oswego, a small handful left in Broome (and it's unclear whether the challenged ballots have been counted or not), and an unspecified amount left in Oneida. Unless he's wrong, or these ballots are very different from the late ballots we've seen, Brindisi probably ekes this out.

Less eke, and more wins by 1k. That's if Mr. Rosenblatt is correct.

[KaiserDave]

Roll you would like Richard Hanna the guy before Tenney.

She challenged him in 2014 and lost, but he retired in 2016 and died this year.

Yeah, he was pretty great. Basically an old-style moderate Northeast Republican. We could use more of them. That's why I was rooting so hard for people like Tom Kean, Brian Fitzpatrick and of course Phil.

I looked into Tom Kean Sr. He appears to have been an excellent Governor, though I can't say I approve of all his post governorship.

There's little information out there on Kean the younger.

[KaiserDave]

I find it very very hard to believe that there are no ballots left in this district.

[KaiserDave]

Imagine telling people before the election that Democrats would end up more likely to win NY-22 than CA-25 (Brindisi obviously doesn't have this in the bag, but still).

I know right.

Imagine telling people that Rouda and Shalala would lose and Brindisi would win.

[KaiserDave]

I find it very very hard to believe that there are no ballots left in this district.

Yes, but they likely won't show up until a recount is needed. You always hold some in reserve.

Blablabla democracy bad blablabla I don’t understand vote counting blablabla
We get it

[KaiserDave]

If people had told me that Rouda, Cisneros, Shalala, and DMP would lose, but Brindisi, Delgado, (Andy) Kim, and Golden would win, I'd probably have asked them why these Congresspeople were sent in a time machine back to 2012...

Don't forget the fact that Andy Kim won by a bigger margin than Mikie Sherrill or Josh Gottheimer.

Andy Kim’s performance was very impressive

[KaiserDave]

We won NY-22! Challenged Ballots need to be tossed!

Yes and God Emperor Trump will rule for a thousand years

Now go to bed

[KaiserDave]

Wasserman now saying tenney lead is 106, not 75


2k ballots remain to be counted

Probably not important.....probably.

But if there's 2k out, Brindisi probably has this in the bag.

[KaiserDave]

Wasserman now saying tenney lead is 106, not 75


2k ballots remain to be counted

Probably not important.....probably.

But if there's 2k out, Brindisi probably has this in the bag.

Wrong! These 2K Ballots (if they are really 2K available) ain't neccessarily Absentee Ballots. They are likely going to be Provisional Ballots and a Judge would have to decide if they can count. These Ballots could go either way then.

Yes we know you like rigging elections.
No need to elaborate

[KaiserDave]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1329836584095653893

He's being sarcastic right. Like...I'm just not catching the sarcasm.

[KaiserDave]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1329836584095653893

He's being sarcastic right. Like...I'm just not catching the sarcasm.

Yes. The tweet prior says McGrath spent 88 million dollars to lose to McConnell by 19.6% points.

Okay good.

Yeah McGrath spend over 100 dollars a vote.

[KaiserDave]

Christy Smith will be joining Amy McGrath, Robby Mook, and Cal Cunningham in the gulag.

[KaiserDave]

Christy Smith will be joining Amy McGrath, Robby Mook, and Cal Cunningham in the gulag.

Don't forget Shalala!

Ah! Of course. Queen DMP will not, as she did well given how Biden did and is cool.

Who else who else hmmmm. Jamie Harrison perhaps? Or you know, the entire Florida Democratic Party.

[KaiserDave]

Why does predictit favor tenney right now?

Because predictit is full of morons.

[KaiserDave]

Christy Smith will be joining Amy McGrath, Robby Mook, and Cal Cunningham in the gulag.

Don't forget Shalala!

Ah! Of course. Queen DMP will not, as she did well given how Biden did and is cool.

Who else who else hmmmm. Jamie Harrison perhaps?

Harrison has talked about running for DNC Chair.

Nope. Don't like that.

[KaiserDave]

Peninsula Gary!

[KaiserDave]

Peninsula Gary!

Peninsula Peters lol

I'm an idiot

[KaiserDave]

If there's even a few hundred ballots out Brindisi should win

[KaiserDave]

If there's even a few hundred ballots out Brindisi should win

I doubt that there are few hundred Ballots out certainly not the Absentee/Mail-In Ballots that Brindisi needs and made huge strides with closing this gap. What's left are Provisional Ballots and they can go either way.

Rosenblatt said there are two thousand ballots out. I'm fairly confident.

[KaiserDave]

If there's even a few hundred ballots out Brindisi should win

I doubt that there are few hundred Ballots out certainly not the Absentee/Mail-In Ballots that Brindisi needs and made huge strides with closing this gap. What's left are Provisional Ballots and they can go either way.

Rosenblatt said there are two thousand ballots out. I'm fairly confident.

But he did not specify if those are Mail-In Ballots or Provisionals/Overseas Military Ballots?

Bottom Line is this:
A) If those 2K are Absentee/Mail-Ins then I agree with you Brindisi is likely going to pull it out.
B) If those Ballots are Provisionals & Overseas Military Ballots then it's a Total "Coin-Flip" IMO.

Needless to say Rosenblatt is a Democratic-liberal Hack who can't be completely trusted!

And you're a hack for nonsense, sooooo

[KaiserDave]

Disaster for dems in CA

Yeah


The silver lining for them however is that the unfair maps will wipe out these guys

[KaiserDave]

Disaster for dems in CA

Yeah


The silver lining for them however is that the unfair maps will wipe out these guys

No, they are fair maps, CA has a commission, it may just have a slight Democratic tilt and may create maps slightly favorable to Democrats, but Republican maps won out on the commissions in WA and NJ last time, so it's not exactly unfair, both sides try to game the commissions, for instance, Democrats successfully gamed the AZ Commission last time and then Republicans gamed it this time. But I highly doubt the maps that some people are suggesting where say Long Beach gets paired with Newport Beach and/or Huntington Beach become reality.

The Commission is D biased. I only meant unfair to say Democrats would have an edge.