NYC Mayor/2021 Megathread

[KaiserDave]

Yeah clearly Scott should drop out. I'm not ranking Morales first, or second, but it's not as if anyone is beating Yang.

[KaiserDave]

Yeah clearly Scott should drop out. I'm not ranking Morales first, or second, but it's not as if anyone is beating Yang.

Two months is a long time. Yang is in a solid position, but anything can happen.

Yeah his margin of victory might change.

[KaiserDave]

Yang is pretty obviously a nigh-lock

[KaiserDave]

Scott is going to hemorrhage endorsements, money, and support until primary day. He should drop out while he still has some dignity left.

Damn, I had a lot of faith in this man.

[KaiserDave]

Yang will be one of the best mayor's the city has ever had. Can't wait for him to shovel the current loser out of office and install some blessed UBI in a city that so desperately needs it.

He's not proposing UBI anymore lol

[KaiserDave]

Useless poll.

It's an Adams vs Yang race, NYC is in big big trouble.

[KaiserDave]

As I said, Scott is going to hemorrhage endorsements, he should drop out before he loses all dignity he has left.

[KaiserDave]

Frontrunner
Andrew Yang
Competitors
Eric Adams, Maya Wiley
Periphery of Competition
Ray McGuire, Diane Morales
Field
Shaun Donovan, Kathryn Garcia
lol
Scott Stringer

[KaiserDave]

This is mostly before the scandal, but we can see Stringer was then surging. I expect a collapse to single digits when new polls emerge.

[KaiserDave]

Frontrunner
Andrew Yang
Competitors
Eric Adams, Maya Wiley
Periphery of Competition
Ray McGuire, Diane Morales
Field
Shaun Donovan, Kathryn Garcia
lol
Scott Stringer

Donovan isn't competitive at all? He seems like one of the best for governing there.

Yeah he hasn't gotten much traction.

[KaiserDave]

Thank God I won't be living in NYC for the next four years. I mean, I love this city, but if it's gonna Adams or Yang. Good god.

Eric Adams literally wants to end summer vacation and establish online school with 300-400 kids to a teacher.

[KaiserDave]

Thank God I won't be living in NYC for the next four years. I mean, I love this city, but if it's gonna Adams or Yang. Good god.

Eric Adams literally wants to end summer vacation and establish online school with 300-400 kids to a teacher.

source? I very much doubt that would get much support.

https://twitter.com/danarubinstein/status/1364698595237261317?ref_src=twsrc%5Etf...

[KaiserDave]

Not surprising coming from that piece of trash

[KaiserDave]

Garcia is better than Yang, Adams, and McGuire, and is generally okay.

Cool. Still not gonna win.

[KaiserDave]

It looks like Stringer's implosion has helped Adams, as he has gotten the brunt of union support Stringer lost.

Wiley has gotten little, probably dooming her campaign, and not getting the NYT endorsement has gotta hurt.

[KaiserDave]

I should do some kind of coalition breakdown. But yeah, Yang is going to dominate with Orthodox Jews (specifically the Hasidim), and with East Asians

[KaiserDave]

Getting ahead of the curve here, but this whole Yang tweet "controversy" is meaningless.

Won't have any real impact on the election other than hardening coalitions which already exist.

[KaiserDave]

Frontrunners
Andrew Yang, Eric Adams
Competitors
Ray McGuire, Diane Morales, Maya Wiley, Scott Stringer
Periphery of Competition
Kathryn Garcia, Shaun Donovan

Maybe I'm giving Morales too much credit, but the latest numbers have her in third. Who knows. Her campaign is still a terminally online inevitable loser though.

[KaiserDave]

The NY Post endorsing Adams, a moderate Black Democrat shows that the NYC GOP is a joke. Curtis Sliwa will probably win SI, and barely, probably....in November.....

The fact that Bronz is the only person who has ever posted or mentioned the Republican candidates for Mayor this year is a pretty good explanation for why the Post endorsed a Dem.

the GOP are not even trying, unlike in 2013 when they at least attempted to run a campaign with Lhota

I’m actually surprised they didn’t endorse Yang, or maybe I’m barely paying any attention to Eric Adams’ campaign and he’s more right wing than I thought?

Eric Adams brand of the NYC Democratic right is much more in tune with the New York Post than Yang's.

[KaiserDave]

One thing is true. Nobody other than Yang and Adams has made substantial effort to win over the Orthodox voters.

[KaiserDave]

In an interview, the candidates was asked what the median price of a home in Brooklyn was, and some of the answers were completely disqualifying: https://www.newsweek.com/nyc-mayor-candidates-shaun-donovan-ray-mcguire-think-average-brooklyn-home-costs-100k-1590464

Correct answer: $900k

Wiley: $1.8 million
Stringer: $1 million
Yang: $900k
Garcia: $800k
Adams: $550k
Morales: $500k
Donovan: $100k
McGuire: $90k

McGuire is absurdly out of touch, news at 11

[KaiserDave]

Adams will win Brooklyn, I would have said Stringer would win Manhattan but now I don't know.

I'm really not sure about who will win where, but I do know that the race will probably be decided between Yang and Adams in Queens.

[KaiserDave]

https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/dem-nyc-mayoral-candidate-ray-mcguire-dont-more-taxes

Ray McGuire (R)

[KaiserDave]

Adams is very clearly surging to tie or pass Yang. And finally we have numbers to prove that the Morales campaign is still very weak outside of twitter.

[KaiserDave]

Wiley looked at Harris's 2020 campaign and said "let's do that."

As for myself I am probably going to rank some combination of Garcia and Morales, but this race is a lost cause.