IA-Selzer: Warren 22, Biden 20, Sanders 11, Buttigieg 9, Harris 6

[KaiserDave]

I really think Warren will do well with all demographic group mentioned. She'll have HRC numbers with Minority groups, which is probably what you're gonna get. Let's not kid ourselves, Obama is the only guy who's gonna get the numbers he got with African Americans. Booker, Biden, or Harris (maybe, but probably not) are the only ones who could approach it. She'll exceed HRC among the WWC, as we can see in her Senate race but also given that HRC was simply toxic with some of these communities. Obviously she'll fire up the base (this is already apparent), and if she can properly contrast herself with Bernie (as less crazy, more tempered), which she is already doing, she can hold Romney/Clinton voters.

[KaiserDave]

I really think Warren will do well with all demographic group mentioned. She'll have HRC numbers with Minority groups, which is probably what you're gonna get. Let's not kid ourselves, Obama is the only guy who's gonna get the numbers he got with African Americans. Booker, Biden, or Harris (maybe, but probably not) are the only ones who could approach it. She'll exceed HRC among the WWC, as we can see in her Senate race but also given that HRC was simply toxic with some of these communities. Obviously she'll fire up the base (this is already apparent), and if she can properly contrast herself with Bernie (as less crazy, more tempered), which she is already doing, she can hold Romney/Clinton voters.

Much as I like Warren, there is nothing to suggest she can match Clinton’s numbers with minorities. This seems like wishcasting at best

Yeah, sorry. I am discussing the general election.

In the primary, no definitely she is not getting HRC minority numbers.