538 model & poll tracker thread (user search)
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  538 model & poll tracker thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 538 model & poll tracker thread  (Read 58140 times)
SnowLabrador
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,933
United States


« on: June 21, 2020, 06:15:06 AM »
Any word on when the full model will come out? Or will we only have these polling averages to go by until the actual election?
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SnowLabrador
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,933
United States


« Reply #1 on: July 22, 2020, 11:36:42 AM »
The race is going to tighten more before November. The key thing to remember is that a close race favors Trump. Democrats tend to win in blowouts, whereas in close races where the ground game matters, the GOP does better.
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SnowLabrador
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,933
United States


« Reply #2 on: July 28, 2020, 08:26:15 AM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on July 28, 2020, 08:03:57 AM
We'll see what the finished product looks like, but my first thought on reading those tweets was "they're trying too hard".
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SnowLabrador
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,933
United States


« Reply #3 on: August 10, 2020, 07:47:02 PM »
Will there be a House and Senate forecast too, or just President?
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SnowLabrador
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,933
United States


« Reply #4 on: September 04, 2020, 10:07:31 AM »
Now we're talking!
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SnowLabrador
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,933
United States


« Reply #5 on: September 10, 2020, 07:52:22 AM »
Quote from: emailking on September 10, 2020, 07:51:00 AM
Biden up to 75, and Trump down to 25, in the model.

The fact that Trump has any chance at all shows just how depraved this country is.
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SnowLabrador
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,933
United States


« Reply #6 on: September 13, 2020, 05:51:33 AM »
I really hope they release the Congressional model today.
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