Well yes. But that's not because of the blue dogs, but more of the DC suburbs and Research Triangle and the northern transplants. Georgia and Florida are moving right despite growing as well. In 8 years, NC and VA will be in play, SC could be as well if the Charleston area keeps growing, but I doubt any of the deep south states will be in play for a long time.
I pretty much agree. I think Virginia is closer to being in play for Democrats now. But probably still out of reach. 2012 more likely, IF Democrats nominate a palatable candidate. North Carolina will come around eventually.
I would think South Carolina and Georgia are going to STAY right. I am not sure they can move much farther over. I think Tennessee and Kentucky are just about done transitioning to solid R states and will remain so for the foreseeable future. Florida is the one I can't quite figure. I agree that it's moving right, but I am not sure what it is. Is it that the conservative Cuban population is growing? Aren't just as many northeastern liberals settling in Florida for retirement? The seniors are dying off, that is probably a factor. I know that the panhandle and central Florida are solid Republican. I'm trying to figure out how Florida is different from, say, North Carolina. Lots of northern transplants. But one is slowly inching left and one is slowly moving right.
