Early & Absentee Voting Megathread - Build the Freiwal (user search)
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Author Topic: Early & Absentee Voting Megathread - Build the Freiwal  (Read 133915 times)
DaWN
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,370
United Kingdom


« on: November 02, 2018, 06:02:15 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on November 02, 2018, 05:50:52 AM
Quote from: UncleSam on November 02, 2018, 02:01:21 AM
Quote from: Republicans for Nelson on November 02, 2018, 01:52:10 AM
Iowa
Dems +33.7k statewide

D+14.7k in CD-01
D+16.8k in CD-02
D+11.9k in CD-03
R+9.7k in CD-04 (RIP Scholten)

The respective party leads in each district have grown considerably since last week.

https://sos.iowa.gov/elections/pdf/2018/general/AbsenteeCongressional2018.pdf
Compared to 2016 this represents slightly improved numbers for Dems in the 3rd and 4th districts, slightly worse in the 2nd, and almost exactly equivalent by % in the 1st.

Considering 2016 was awful for Ds, doesn't that bode... not well?

Presidential turnout ≠ midterm turnout
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DaWN
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,370
United Kingdom


« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2018, 06:46:23 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on November 02, 2018, 06:32:48 AM
Quote from: DaWN on November 02, 2018, 06:02:15 AM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on November 02, 2018, 05:50:52 AM
Quote from: UncleSam on November 02, 2018, 02:01:21 AM
Quote from: Republicans for Nelson on November 02, 2018, 01:52:10 AM
Iowa
Dems +33.7k statewide

D+14.7k in CD-01
D+16.8k in CD-02
D+11.9k in CD-03
R+9.7k in CD-04 (RIP Scholten)

The respective party leads in each district have grown considerably since last week.

https://sos.iowa.gov/elections/pdf/2018/general/AbsenteeCongressional2018.pdf
Compared to 2016 this represents slightly improved numbers for Dems in the 3rd and 4th districts, slightly worse in the 2nd, and almost exactly equivalent by % in the 1st.

Considering 2016 was awful for Ds, doesn't that bode... not well?

Presidential turnout ≠ midterm turnout

Then why are we even comparing to 2016

We shouldn't.
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