Rate MO-01 after Brnovich v. DNC (user search)
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May 28, 2024, 07:15:22 AM
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  Rate MO-01 after Brnovich v. DNC (search mode)
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Poll
Question: ?
#1
Safe D
 
#2
Likely D
 
#3
Lean D
 
#4
Tilt D
 
#5
Tossup
 
#6
Tilt R
 
#7
Lean R
 
#8
Likely R
 
#9
Safe R
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 33

Author Topic: Rate MO-01 after Brnovich v. DNC  (Read 1499 times)
Roll Roons
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Posts: 10,088
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« on: June 28, 2021, 08:44:39 PM »

It's not gonna happen.

Splitting St. Louis would be an instant dummymander. Even Kansas City would be risky, considering that the whole metro is growing and getting bluer.
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Roll Roons
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,088
United States


« Reply #1 on: June 28, 2021, 08:57:13 PM »

It's not gonna happen.

Splitting St. Louis would be an instant dummymander. Even Kansas City would be risky, considering that the whole metro is growing and getting bluer.

False,
Missouri 5th was +20 Obama in 2012 and +18 Biden
Missouri 6 was +22 Romney  and +28 Trump
Missouri 4 was +25 Romney and +34 Trump.


Platte has been getting bluer but Clay and Jackson haven't. The rest has zoomed rightwards.


Clay went from Romney +8 to Trump +4 and Jackson went from Obama +20 (2012) to Biden +22. It's rural areas in those districts that have swung hard right.
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