No, but Republicans definitely can’t take this for granted and both parties' internals have been showing the race much closer than public polling. It’s a single-digit race.
Have to disagree..
Jones hasn't even tried to carve himself out a image of bipartisanship, his voting record has been extremely liberal for the state's partisan lean..
Voted against Kavanaugh, voted to convict on both counts, and looks likely to vote against Barrett's nomination..
In a state Trump will win by 20+ points, a margin of 12-15% seems realistic for the senate race.
Even if he had a much more conservative record, I think the odds of him winning would still be low unless Moore somehow got the nomination again. Alabama is far less elastic downballot than, say, West Virginia, Montana or Kansas.