MT - Global Strategy Group (D): Gianforte +1% (Gianforte +4% in June GSG (D) poll) (user search)
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  MT - Global Strategy Group (D): Gianforte +1% (Gianforte +4% in June GSG (D) poll) (search mode)
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Author Topic: MT - Global Strategy Group (D): Gianforte +1% (Gianforte +4% in June GSG (D) poll)  (Read 1064 times)
Roll Roons
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Posts: 10,098
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« on: August 31, 2020, 03:36:43 PM »

If Republicans lose the Senate/House/White House, flipping MT-GOV would likely be the only major consolation prize for the party. I’m not even old enough to really remember the Martz years because it’s been such a long time since the state last had a R governor (especially one as conservative as Gianforte), so going from Bullock and his veto pen to a Republican trifecta under Gianforte would be quite a political sea change. Only DE, WA, and OR have had Republican governors less recently than MT; it’s easily the most important statewide/non-federal election in MT in a long time.

Also AL-Sen unless it's a really massive landslide.
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Roll Roons
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Posts: 10,098
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« Reply #1 on: September 01, 2020, 09:57:47 AM »

And there goes the last state where politics isn't dictated entirely by hyperpartisanship and the state's partisan lean. Sad!

Cooney isn’t losing because of hyperpartisanship, he’s losing because GF has been running a more effective campaign so far. If hyperpartisanship/partisan lean dictated the outcome of every election in the state, Bullock would be nowhere near as competitive in the Senate race as he still is.

Even if they lose the governorship, how likely do you think it is that Democrats win at least one row office this year?
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