Roll Roons
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« on: January 18, 2020, 10:04:09 PM » |
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I'd say NY having a Republican State Senate until 2018, considering that Republicans haven't won a statewide race there since 2002, which is the longest drought for any state.
Here's another one: New Jersey's House delegation was split 6-6 as recently as 2016.
Also I've noticed some interesting correlations between presidential elections and gubernatorial elections in a handful of states. Since 1988, the sitting president's party has always lost the elections for governor in New Jersey, Kansas and New Mexico. This rule has also held for Wisconsin and Michigan since 1992. Famously, it was true of Virginia from 1976 until T-Mac won it in 2013 with Obama in the White House.
There are a few states that have currently unbroken streaks of predicting the winning party in the presidential elections one or two years later. These are Kentucky and Maryland beginning with 2004 presidential, and Massachusetts with 2000. One of these will have to end next year.
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