McGarnagle
SomethingPolitical
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,612
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« on: August 06, 2019, 03:18:49 PM » |
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If the economy is good in this alternate 2020 scenario, a hypothetical President Hillary Clinton could have won a narrow re-election like George W. Bush in 2004, with a similar map to her would-have-been win four years prior.
If the economy is bad in this alternate 2020 scenario, President Clinton might lose by a narrow margin to a more conservative candidate like Tom Cotton if the party continued in a Trumpist direction after Trump's loss in this alternate timeline, or possibly by a wider margin to a candidate like John Kasich or Jon Huntsman or Brian Sandoval if the GOP took a comparatively more moderate route.
Given that a 2016 Clinton win would mean twelve consecutive years of a Democratic White House, the odds would be stacked against the incumbent. Whether the Republicans would continue in a far-right direction (and they most likely would) would be maybe the most pertinent factor.
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