Butler, Armstrong, and Westmoreland are Solid McCain. They all went to Bush by strong margins, and have been trending Republican for a long time now.
Greene flipped in 04, and will stay that way with McCain.
Fayette has flipped, no ifs, ands, or buts about it.
Beaver and Washington are likely flips (not quite as strong as Fayette, but close.)
Allegheny will likely go Obama due to the Influence of Pittsburgh, but I'd lean toward a 55%-45% margin at the most. Most likely a 53%-47%.
How on earth people think Obama can make up lose kind of losses in Philly is beyond me.
The Democrat model has always been get demolished in the T while eeking out just enough in Western PA and Philly to make up the difference.
If you take Western PA out of the equation, you find it very difficult to make up the ground in Philly. (Unless you are going to kick in the vote fraud machine into epic proportions.)
