2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread (user search)
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  2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread  (Read 170431 times)
I Can Now Die Happy
NYC Millennial Minority
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,949
United States
Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: -4.70

P P
« on: October 29, 2018, 10:11:11 PM »
« edited: October 30, 2018, 06:38:17 AM by Brittain33 »

I believe that D+17 is clearly a junk poll. Again, I believe that Rasmussen seems to be the only one that isn't mediocre and they only have it at D+3. I suggest that you treat all the other GCB polls as outliers. Although there is no evidence, I believe it's possible the actual vote will be something like R+1 at this point.

https://realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2018_generic_congressional_vote-6185.html#polls
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I Can Now Die Happy
NYC Millennial Minority
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,949
United States
Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: -4.70

P P
« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2018, 10:22:09 PM »

D+17 is clearly a junk poll. Again, Rasmussen seems to be the only one that isn't mediocre and they only have it at D+3. Treat all the other GCB polls as outliers. It's possible the actual vote will be something like R+1 at this point.

https://realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2018_generic_congressional_vote-6185.html#polls


I'm sorry my fellow Democrats can't realize what is actually happening, the Democrats are going to massively underperform the polls like 2016. We'll be lucky if we pick up anymore than 10 seats, I tbqh won't be surprised to see us lose seats.

Yep, it must be pretty awful from your side's perspective. I recommend investing in cake and wine or whatever to prepare for November 6
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I Can Now Die Happy
NYC Millennial Minority
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,949
United States
Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: -4.70

P P
« Reply #2 on: October 29, 2018, 10:32:12 PM »

@Bagel: yeah but it's also nice to consume when you make yourself wanna feel better after an unexpected loss

I also recommend french fries (consider adding cheese and bacon), donuts, fried chicken, barbecue, pizza, etc
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I Can Now Die Happy
NYC Millennial Minority
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,949
United States
Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: -4.70

P P
« Reply #3 on: October 29, 2018, 11:08:02 PM »

@kingsweden: maybe he isn't trolling and will actually be taking my advice for real. Hope he has a delicious feast on the night of November 6 and isn't feeling too sad
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I Can Now Die Happy
NYC Millennial Minority
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,949
United States
Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: -4.70

P P
« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2018, 09:16:01 AM »



Here's a more serious House prediction I came up with. A slight Democratic majority is definitely possible, assuming polling is mostly accurate. I'm skeptical of the idea that Democrats will overperform polling, so I doubt a decently sized D majority is in the works.

The Senate could end up being 50D-50R if polling is right on point, but we'll have to see.
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I Can Now Die Happy
NYC Millennial Minority
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,949
United States
Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: -4.70

P P
« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2018, 09:30:58 AM »
« Edited: November 05, 2018, 09:35:25 AM by NYC Millennial Minority »


please vote Republican on November 6

Also....Rasmussen finally gave us our first R+something poll, but I dunno...it seems like an outlier to me. I'm scared guys.
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I Can Now Die Happy
NYC Millennial Minority
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,949
United States
Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: -4.70

P P
« Reply #6 on: November 05, 2018, 09:43:31 AM »

Did you actually knock on doors or did you stick to posting memes and running a subreddit?

I don't run any subreddits. I run something else.

Anyway, I have knocked on many doors, but they were for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Cynthia Nixon
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I Can Now Die Happy
NYC Millennial Minority
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,949
United States
Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: -4.70

P P
« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2018, 10:24:28 AM »

No, I #walkedaway years ago but still decided to spend a great deal of time this year volunteering for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Cynthia Nixon. Got a long winded explanation.

also

 

Preach it Mr. President!
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