Those aren't bellwethers.
What are Hillsborough and Pinellas at?
Not sure but given historic trends they will be carried by Nelson. They are both reliably Democratic and Pasco County immediately north has a habit of flip floppong but unless Scott really runs up the score there he's looking at better than a 100,000 vote deficit from the Bay Area. God help him already because Gillum unexpectedly won every county with a massive population center.
My prediction is that Duval will be the back breaker for the Scott/DeSantis ticket if Gillum gets them out to vote.
I am in Duval right now. I feel special.
You should. FL is like TX in that you can have so many major cities that vote Democrat all they want but the rest of the state will keep it Republican. Duval/Jacksonville is just about the only major population center in the state that Republicans can count on to balance everything out. We're talking 200,000 votes at a time here during presidential elections and 240,000 for Marco Rubio.
Scott needs to perform well there. I believe he will but God help him with a razor thin margin because he's facing a man who has won 200,000 votes there before too.
