Census Projections - Great Plains States (user search)
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  Census Projections - Great Plains States (search mode)
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snowguy716
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« on: January 22, 2007, 10:55:42 PM »
« edited: January 22, 2007, 11:04:09 PM by snowguy716 »

Edit:

The state demographer has estimated an annual 1.1% growth from 2000-2005.

How would Minnesota be affected if we had 10% increase between 2000-2010? (apportionment)
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snowguy716
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« Reply #1 on: January 22, 2007, 11:16:55 PM »

Also interesting:

While population growth was fastest in Minnesota in a "crescent" from Rochester in the southeast, through the Twin Cities, northwestward to St. Cloud, and in the lakes regions of Brainerd and Bemidji, income growth was by far slowest in the Twin Cities from 2000-2004.

Incomes grew the fastest in farming regions of SW Minnesota that actually lost population and in the Iron Range region that has been losing population since the 1960s.

A boost in iron demand because of increased global demand and rising corn prices due to increased ethanol demand have provided a huge boon for farmers in the corn belt, as incomes for farmers increased nearly 30% in some areas between 2000 and 2005.
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snowguy716
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« Reply #2 on: January 23, 2007, 03:32:42 PM »

Thanks.

I'm not very well versed in the science of congressional apportionment.  I'm guessing you give every state 1 seat, and then divide the remaining seats among hte population and find which seats are closest to gaining that last additional seat... but it's still pretty complicated.
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snowguy716
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« Reply #3 on: February 20, 2007, 01:39:26 AM »

I'm just mostly afraid of what the new districts will look like after 2010 with only 7 districts.. I mean, we can't escape the inevitable, but it doesn't bode well for rural Minnesota despite strong population growth in some rural areas.

Districts 4, 5, 7, and 8 will all have a deficit of residents for the new apportionment numbers, and so they'll most likely swallow most of the lost district up by making district 7 cover all of northern Minnesota while district one would come up further north in the west.  District 4 and 5 would grow in size geographically, but would likely be offset by large increases in districts 2, 3, and 6.

All in all, Minnesota will become a less rural state and we would likely have Jim Oberstar and Collin Peterson fighting each other for a seat (unless of course Jim retires, which he might do in such a situation).

District 1 would likely become more democratic as it would probably pick up the more liberal farm belt of southwestern MN and district 2 and 6 would remain solidly Republican.

We'll probably just have a 4D, 3R make up.  Oh well, what can you do about? 

We all know that Texas and California need more representation :S
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