Major cold wave brings winter back to Great Lakes and East.

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Temperatures could get below 0°F in parts of New York and New England with temps down to the low 20s near NYC.  Frost could be felt all the way to South Carolina and Georgia.  The Euro model is showing flurries down to near Atlanta with widespread snow across the northeast.




In other news, the El Niño is collapsing and the average temperature of the tropical pacific below the surface is now around 0.5°C below normal, having plummeted from a high of 2°C above in December.

This cold water could begin to surface soon and bring La Niña conditions.

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The NWS is forecasting lows in the single digits at Lake Placid.  That some areas could be below zero is well within the realm of possibilities.

Accuweather and TWC are moderating the forecast after the fact because it is an extreme event.  Time will tell.  I have a feeling it wont be nearly 20°F warmer than the models predict like TWC thinks.

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The NWS is forecasting lows in the single digits at Lake Placid.  That some areas could be below zero is well within the realm of possibilities.

Accuweather and TWC are moderating the forecast after the fact because it is an extreme event.  Time will tell.  I have a feeling it wont be nearly 20°F warmer than the models predict like TWC thinks.

Being media companies, one would expect them to exaggerate this event, not tone it down. 

I know Accuweather operates their own model that tends to moderate the other models, which is worthless in extreme events.  TWC also provides their own unique forecasts...

Even so the NWS is showing lows for the 6th to be about 5°F above the model above.

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It would appear Accuweather is cooling their forecasts down again.  Upstate New York will be in the low single digits in the mornings and New York City will have one morning at 23F.

Washington will have a light freeze or frost Monday and Tuesday and then a freeze on Friday.  The low of 29F on Friday would tie the record for the date.

Boston will be down to 20F on Tuesday... which is about as cold as it gets this time of year (record lows are upper teens to low 20s)

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Yesterday in Chicago there were snow squalls all day and temps in the 30s.  This morning it got to 27F and to a high of 72F.  Tonight will be 34F and a high of 35F tomorrow.  Talk about crazy.

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It got even colder than the models predicted this morning.  -3°F in Saranac Lake and 9°F in Syracuse.  A far cry from the low 20s originally put out by TWC and Accuweather in Syracuse.