Change Research: MI, NC - Peters +5, Cunningham +10 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 17, 2024, 06:05:32 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 Senate & House Election Polls
  Change Research: MI, NC - Peters +5, Cunningham +10 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Change Research: MI, NC - Peters +5, Cunningham +10  (Read 1313 times)
SN2903
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: 3.91

P P
« on: August 26, 2020, 05:03:04 PM »

MI race is now pure tossup with Biden tanking.
Logged
SN2903
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: 3.91

P P
« Reply #1 on: August 28, 2020, 12:51:04 PM »

MI race is now pure tossup with Biden tanking.

Biden is not “tanking” anywhere outside your demented delusional empty head, and Trump has literally already given up on Michigan.

But by all means, keep smoking that crack SN. See where that gets you in life.
Biden is absolutely tanking. DNC was a massive failure. Negative bounce. Trump will get 3-5% bounce next week. This race is tilt R at this point
Logged
SN2903
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: 3.91

P P
« Reply #2 on: August 28, 2020, 10:15:08 PM »

MI race is now pure tossup with Biden tanking.

Biden is not “tanking” anywhere outside your demented delusional empty head, and Trump has literally already given up on Michigan.

But by all means, keep smoking that crack SN. See where that gets you in life.
Biden is absolutely tanking. DNC was a massive failure. Negative bounce. Trump will get 3-5% bounce next week. This race is tilt R at this point

Biden isn’t tanking at all. Just because you want it to be true doesn’t make it so.
The betting market average is almost tied. Look at how Florida, Mich, Wisconsin avg is narrowing.
Logged
SN2903
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: 3.91

P P
« Reply #3 on: August 29, 2020, 08:25:22 PM »

538 averages, two weeks ago vs now.
Florida: Biden +5.4%-Biden +5.1%
Michigan: Biden +7.7%-Biden +7.3%
Wisconsin: Biden +7.1%-Biden +6.2%

And as a bonus-
Nationwide: Biden +8.5%-Biden +9.1%

There has been no real change in the race for months, and there is no indication that Trump is suddenly going to surge in popularity. To top it off, the DNC got higher ratings than the RNC.

RCP Michigan Average is now Biden +2.6%
Florida Biden +3.7%
Wisconsin Biden +3.5%

It's close right now. You can deny it all you want. Biden clearly started losing his momentum in mid to late July. He has played it too safe and is not campaigning enough. Combined this with decreasing covid cases, improving economy and the continued riots. All the fundamentals are starting to favor Trump.
Logged
SN2903
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: 3.91

P P
« Reply #4 on: August 29, 2020, 08:25:52 PM »

MI race is now pure tossup with Biden tanking.

Biden is not “tanking” anywhere outside your demented delusional empty head, and Trump has literally already given up on Michigan.

But by all means, keep smoking that crack SN. See where that gets you in life.
Biden is absolutely tanking. DNC was a massive failure. Negative bounce. Trump will get 3-5% bounce next week. This race is tilt R at this point

Biden isn’t tanking at all. Just because you want it to be true doesn’t make it so.
The betting market average is almost tied. Look at how Florida, Mich, Wisconsin avg is narrowing.

Which specific betting sites? Not doubting you, just curious, do you have some links?

Realclear has an average

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/betting_odds/2020_president/
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.035 seconds with 13 queries.