Are The Democrats Toast in 2018 after Kavanaugh? (user search)
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  Are The Democrats Toast in 2018 after Kavanaugh? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Are The Democrats Toast in 2018 after Kavanaugh?
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
#3
Maybe
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 75

Author Topic: Are The Democrats Toast in 2018 after Kavanaugh?  (Read 3269 times)
SN2903
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: 3.91

P P
« on: October 08, 2018, 09:47:04 PM »

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/independents-disapprove-of-democrats-handling-of-the-brett-kavanaugh-nomination-by-a-28-point-margin

New Poll -28 of Independents disapprove of democrats handling of Kavanaugh nomination! This reeks of 2016 all over again. Democrats blowing another election.

Wow!
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SN2903
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: 3.91

P P
« Reply #1 on: October 09, 2018, 12:23:09 PM »

Totally:


So what? The energy is now even. It's not the #s it who turns out to vote and democrats notoriously struggle to turnout in midterms and now the GOP/GOP Leaners are enthused.
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SN2903
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: 3.91

P P
« Reply #2 on: October 09, 2018, 01:36:28 PM »

Totally:


So what? The energy is now even. It's not the #s it who turns out to vote and democrats notoriously struggle to turnout in midterms and now the GOP/GOP Leaners are enthused.

Those are likely voters, so I wouldn't sneeze at those numbers. But there is room for skepticism after 2016. This will at least be a mildly good year for Democrats.

The poll has a 10 point enthusiasum advantage for Democrats too. Also the national polls were very good in 2016. Only fear I have is educational weighting in the Frost Belt.

Yeah, but since Dems are concentrated in CA, NY, MA, MD, etc. outside of those states its more like D+5, which is still good, but almost all the competitive races in the house and Senate lie outside very blue states (with the exception of some being in upstate NY). That would be my main concern if I were a Democrat.
Yep. Also I don't like the sample size of the CNN Poll. Under 800 is not a lot of people. How do they know who is going to show up also?
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