Let's say Trump loses re-election and a Democrat seriously oversteps with a Democratic Congress. This is probably the absolute GOP ceiling in 2024 with a strong candidate vs. a weak Democrat that is tied to the unpopular incumbent (who isn't running for re-election):
Democrats still win 12 states, so I am saying no. Also, this includes multiple states barely going Republican that would be VERY hard to flip.
Not a bad map, but I really don’t see VA flipping. NM and CO are more likely, but would still require disastrous political missteps by the Democrats, if you ask me.
I looked at the map and instantly thought all three of those states need to be red.
