New Jersey (Rutgers/Eagleton): Biden +23 (user search)
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  New Jersey (Rutgers/Eagleton): Biden +23 (search mode)
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Author Topic: New Jersey (Rutgers/Eagleton): Biden +23  (Read 1408 times)
Ferguson97
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« on: May 20, 2020, 04:43:28 PM »

WOW!!!

if true, looking like Bergen, Morris, & Monmouth Counties are swinging hard DEM...



Bergen has been pretty DEM for ages

Totally understand that....

Still, it was only 55-41 HRC in '16, 55-44 Obama in '12, and 54-45 Obama in '08.

As the largest County by Voters in NJ, it seems unfeasible for Biden to be leading by 23%, without a significant swing within Bergen County, from what have been relatively stagnant DEM PRES numbers over the past three Presidential Elections.

I think Biden can win Bergen by a record amount (as with the entire state). Clinton improved on Obama's margins due to winning some of the more affluent, well-educated suburbs in the northern parts of the state as well as those near the Palisades which used to be staunchly Republican, however she lost some of the Meadowlands municipalities that Obama swept in 2012 which are more industrial, swingy, and working-class. I expect that Biden will hang onto the affluent suburbs and also improve in the Meadowlands. That could be enough for him to at least slightly improve on that stagnant 55%. Furthermore Gottheimer is going to win even bigger than in 2018, I believe. Keep the tax bill and how it affected SALT in mind.

I'm from Gottheimer's district and I think he'll win again.
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