Washington state megathread

[SPC]

Hopefully by some miracle Clint Didier gets second. Rasmussen gives him the same chances as Rossi to defeat Murray.

[SPC]

""We've got to get rid of this 'protecting the weak.' If we keep the weak alive all the time it eats up the strong, and then our economy will never come back" - Clint Didier

Source?

[SPC]

I don't like his choice of words, but people must realize that the Medicare and Social Security poni schemes aren't going to last forever.

[SPC]

Prediction (based off of my general election senate model for a four-way race) :
Murray 47%
Rossi 31%
Didier 14%
Akers 6%
Others 2% (just a guess)

If Murray gets above 50% does she still have to run in the general election?

[SPC]

Seeing how Rasmussen typically tends to inflate a candidate's numbers after they win the primary (See Rand Paul, Joe Sestak, Sharron Angle, Linda McMahon, Elaine Marshall, Lee Fisher, etc.), their new poll can't be good news for Rossi. If he's down by 4 points with a post-primary boost, I don't see how he's going to reverse that by election day.

[SPC]

So, Cook has moved WA-02 into the "lean Democratic" category. Was that because of the primary results, or is there something else as well?

SUSA came out with a new poll there too.

[SPC]

CNN/Opinion Research Center:

Registered voters (MoE +/-3%)
Murray 50%
Rossi 44%
Undecided 4%

Likely voters (MoE +/-3.5%)
Murray 53%
Rossi 44%
Undecided 2%

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/09/15/topstate2.pdf

I'm suspicious of any poll that shows the Democrats doing better with an enthusiasm gap.