HuffPost on Dem targets in 2016: IL, WI, LA, NH, FL, GA, NC, PA, AZ, OH, IA, KY

[SPC]

Kirk hangs on unless its close enough that Cook County shenanigans can make a difference (Lean/Likely R if Tammy Duckworth is the nominee.)

Johnson is Walker sans charisma in a presidential year, so more likely than not loses unless Democrats put up a bad nominee.

Were they looking at election results for a different Louisiana and Kentucky last night and two years ago?

Ayotte is atrocious, basically a McCain clone, but New Hampshire seems to like McCain for some reason, and Hassan is overrated as an opponent.

Third time will not be the charm for Alex Sink, nor will fourth time be the charm for Charlie Crist. I think the Democratic bench here is poor enough than even Rubio would have a hard time screwing up re-election.

Nunn would need a 10-point swing to pull it off, which seems theoretically possible although Isakson has the advantage as an incumbent. Tossup if Isakson retires though.

Burr could lose theoretically, although at this point I think Hagan is damaged goods.

Toomey and Portman look like they have both done the legwork to get re-elected; both would be favorites against any potential opponents.

I have yet to see evidence of Arizona's "purpleness." Democrats' best hope would be if McCain runs again and screw up either the primary or the general.

No way that Grassley loses his seat for reasons other the biological inevitability, and even then Branstad's appointee would be favored.

Path of least resistance for Democrats to take back the Senate would be to win Wisconsin, Illinois, New Hampshire, and Georgia, and hoping that Reid, Bennet, and Blumenthal hang on. That still seems like a tall order.