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Chuck Hagel 08
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Posts: 10,003
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« on: October 23, 2014, 04:25:06 PM » |
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The Iowa firewall is holding!
Braley shall not pass!
Braley wins on election day.
You think? Iowa doesn't exactly have the reliable minority votes whose turnout is often underestimated in the polls (e.g., CO, VA and FL being more Democratic than polls showed).
The last 2 close elections in Iowa where the Dems had a full turnout operation
2008 President real clear politics underestimated O by 6.2 !
2012 President real clear politics underestimated O by 3.4
So yes, polls clearly have underestimated Iowa D support since the infrastructure/turnout operation was built in 2008.
Actually they overestimated him by 6.2. |
