CO-Mellman (D): Udall+3 in internal (user search)
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  CO-Mellman (D): Udall+3 in internal (search mode)
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Author Topic: CO-Mellman (D): Udall+3 in internal  (Read 2638 times)
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« on: October 18, 2014, 05:47:01 PM »

Mellman was the only one to get Reid's victory right in 2010.

This isn't Nevada though. Nor is it 2010. Citing one right answer doesn't make them automatically more reliable than all of the other reliable pollsters that put Gardner ahead.

FWIW, Mellman got Heitkamp's win right as well.

Mellman was also the only pollster to call Shelley Berkeley's win.
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #1 on: October 18, 2014, 05:59:31 PM »


Interesting that she did not choose to publicly release those internal polls showing her behind, instead publicly releasing polls showing her with a three-point lead. Will we hear after the election that Udall's internals privately showed him trailing as well?
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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Posts: 10,003
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« Reply #2 on: October 18, 2014, 06:54:24 PM »

Mellman was the only one to get Reid's victory right in 2010.

This isn't Nevada though. Nor is it 2010. Citing one right answer doesn't make them automatically more reliable than all of the other reliable pollsters that put Gardner ahead.

FWIW, Mellman got Heitkamp's win right as well.

Mellman was also the only pollster to call Shelley Berkeley's win.

What were Mellman's results for NV? Even if they had Berkley winning by 1 point, they were closer to the end result than the other pollsters which had Heller up 3-5 points.

As the link showed, the poll that Berkeley chose to release had her up by 3 points, which was further from the actual result than PPP or Marist were (albeit barely closer than SurveyUSA)
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