Should the next person who posts the "Regression toward the mean'' wiki link... (user search)
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  Should the next person who posts the "Regression toward the mean'' wiki link... (search mode)
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Poll
Question: ... on either the 2014 congressional or gubernatorial poll board like they're a really cool dude be immediately banned?
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
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Total Voters: 14

Author Topic: Should the next person who posts the "Regression toward the mean'' wiki link...  (Read 349 times)
SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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Posts: 10,003
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« on: October 16, 2014, 09:06:40 AM »
« edited: October 16, 2014, 09:59:11 AM by SPC »

I would think that individuals who subscribe to such pseudoscientific beliefs as thinking that a pollster showing numbers consistent with the consensus after previously showing numbers dismissed as an outlier in favor of the leading candidate somehow constitutes "momentum" for the trailing candidate, or that a sample size of two cherry-picked recent elections in which disreputable polling firms constituted a disproportionate share of the polling average in certain states provides evidence of "overpolling," or that analyzing demographic crosstabs with a much smaller sample size than the main poll provides a more accurate picture of the state of a race than the poll itself, would be more deserving of such treatment, rather than those who seek to inculcate a basic sense of statistical knowledge in their fellow poll watchers.
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