Predict the Trend Map (user search)

SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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Posts: 10,003

	Predict the Trend Map « on: October 30, 2012, 04:05:05 PM »
	« edited: October 31, 2012, 09:16:11 PM by SPC »

Go.

Pennsylvania, Arkansas, Virginia, Wyoming, and New Mexico seem like they could go either way, among other states.

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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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Posts: 10,003

Re: Predict the Trend Map

« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2012, 08:03:39 PM »

Quote from: Senator Duke on October 30, 2012, 07:27:12 PM

Can Utah actually trend any more Republican than it already is? And DC anymore Democratic?

Romney cracking 70% and Obama cracking 90% would be sufficient for both, respectively.

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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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Posts: 10,003

Re: Predict the Trend Map

« Reply #2 on: November 15, 2012, 07:04:46 PM »

Quote from: SPC on October 30, 2012, 04:05:05 PM

Go.

Pennsylvania, Arkansas, Virginia, Wyoming, and New Mexico seem like they could go either way, among other states.

As of right now, it looks like I missed California, Colorado, Hawaii, Iowa, Kentucky, Maine, Nebraska, New Hampshire, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Texas, and Virginia. It is a bit disconcerting that 10 of those misses were too Republican while only 3 of them were too Democratic. 38/51 is better than a coin flip, though I would have hoped to do better.

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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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Posts: 10,003

Re: Predict the Trend Map

« Reply #3 on: November 16, 2012, 10:28:56 PM »

Quote from: nclib on November 15, 2012, 11:53:04 PM

The 538 map was 37/50 with WY calculated within the margin of error.

Wow, I beat Nate Silver! And equipped only with an OpenOffice spreadsheet too!

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