Zaybay
Junior Chimp
Posts: 6,066
Political Matrix E: -7.25, S: -6.50
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« on: December 07, 2018, 10:04:13 PM » |
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Ill take a shot at it. Im only going to do 4 for each, though, so 8 senators in total.
Overrated:
John Cornyn: The TX senator is usually considered the stronger of the two, but for what reason, I cannot fathom. He has a worse approval rating than Cruz in almost all polling, and has a large segment of the TX population that has no idea who he is. Not only that, hes not a spring chicken anymore, and fails to be enthusiastic or energizing. Not to mention the increase in Hispanic voters that the state will experience, due to it being a presidential election.
Pat Roberts: The guy is old, unpopular, and in a D trending state. Even in 2014, against indie Greg Orman, he underpreformed. If he sticks on the ballot, expect a flip or close result if a Blue Wave hits 2020.
Thom Tillis: A rather unpopular senator in a state that has a strong D bench, not to mention a popular D governor on the ballot. If the Ds take the senate, Tillis will probably represent one of the losses.
Gary Peters: Gary has remained rather unknown in the state of MI, a state that had the smallest swing on the congressional level when compared to PA and WI. While the MI bench has been decimated, a good candidate could force Ds to spend money and put on defenses for the seat.
Underrated:
Steve Bullock: MT saw some really interesting shifts in 2018. Not only was the voter turnout higher than in 2016, but the rurals maxed out in the East, and the state still trended D, thanks to the Western 1/2 of the state. Bullock also remains a rather popular governor, and Daines is rather average when it comes to voter approval.
Jeanne Shaheen: I get it, NH looks like an easy state for the Rs to take back. Well, if Rs think they can unseat one of the most popular senators in the US, all power to them.
Tina Smith: The new senator of MN has oddly been considered a target for Rs? I dont see it. The state of MN doesnt have a quick enough R trend to counter the D trend in the Twin Metro, and not only is the MNREP bench weak to start off with, Smith is also above average, approval-wise.
Mitch McConnell: While he is extremely unpopular, he is also extremely entrenched. It would take a lot, and I mean, a lot, to unseat him.
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