Pat Roberts was held to a 10 point win during a red wave by Goofy Greg in a state that is now trending D.
My early bold prediction: Keep an eye on this one. At the very least, it is more likely to go D than shiny objects like Alabama and Kentucky.
I actually agree with assessment. KS has been consistently trending D for the past 2 decades(albeit, very, very, slowly), but with the coalition Kelly was able to get, having high turnout in the cities and getting those suburbs on your side, it is possible. But still, this starts at likely R until further notice.