Zaybay
Junior Chimp
Posts: 6,065
Political Matrix E: -7.25, S: -6.50
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« on: August 09, 2018, 11:14:17 AM » |
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It really depends on how well Abrams does.
The state is ready to vote for Democrats, unlike what most posters are saying. There is a sizable AA population that actually punches above its weight, and the whites in Atlanta and its surroundings are turning more Blue. What Abrams needs to do is get her voters out there, and convert non-voters into voters, not Republicans into Democrats.
If we are to look at 2014, a hard R year, with an incumbent who was rather popular, against a candidate no one was excited about, he got 52% to 45%. In 2016, in a state that Hillary didnt invest in, and when Democrats were not enthused at all, the result was 51% to 46%. Now we are going into an election with a terrible R candidate, an excellent D one, money, a Blue Wave, and numerous other factors on our side. This race will be close, and Abrams chances are huge.
I would say that this race is a pure tossup. Both have a 50/50 shot at the governors mansion. But, if I had a gun to my head, Abrams wins.
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