What state(s) will see the largest shifts in the next 4 electoral cycles? (user search)
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  What state(s) will see the largest shifts in the next 4 electoral cycles? (search mode)
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Author Topic: What state(s) will see the largest shifts in the next 4 electoral cycles?  (Read 3145 times)
Kwal
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Posts: 27
Marshall Islands


Political Matrix
E: -3.94, S: -6.70
« on: June 05, 2018, 11:49:50 PM »
Either the Deep South or the Mountain West would be my guess. If Democrats could consistently achieve 30% of the white vote in the Deep South it’d be Solid D. The MT West is elastic, susceptible to demographic change, and there is a good chance they rebel at the increasingly populist direction of the GOP.  For Democrats, I would bet on Hawaii or some of the New England states.
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Kwal
Rookie
**
Posts: 27
Marshall Islands


Political Matrix
E: -3.94, S: -6.70
« Reply #1 on: June 06, 2018, 12:44:41 PM »
Quote from: Cory Booker on June 06, 2018, 08:24:42 AM
Quote from: MillennialModerate on June 06, 2018, 04:14:00 AM
This is an easy one:

Colorado: Shift from Lean D to Safe D
Wisconsin: Shift from Likely D to Lean D
Georgia: Shift from Likely R to tilt R
Mississippi: Shift from Safe R to Tilt R
Maine 1: Shift from tossup to Lean D
Texas: Shift from Safe R to Tilt R

A shift to Tossup to Lean D over 16 years is unnoticeable
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