Pawlenty is, I think, too safe of a choice. I feel as if McCain needs to take some risk, try some daring strategy. I don't really know what, or who, that is, but his current tactics are obviously not working. Pawlenty doesn't change anything strategically, and that's bad for McCain.
I kind of get the impression McCain is hoping to stumble upon a victory the way he did in the primaries. It won't happen that way; he won't be facing a divided opposition this time, nor will he have Giuliani's vote to fall into his lap. He could still win, but it will be all about Obama. And, much as 2004 was all about Bush, a campaign being "all about" a candidate makes it pretty difficult to defeat that candidate.
At least Obama won't be able to write it off as a safe state.
Yes he will.
I'm not saying McCain is going to win Minnesota, just saying Pawlenty will help make it more competitive than the polls are showing it to be right now. Minnesota is not a solidly Democratic state anymore.
Pawlenty won reelection with an anemic 46.7% of the vote. That says it all about his home state pull, really. Pawlenty as VP is not--at all--about winning Minnesota.