Michigan GOP Results thread II (user search)
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  Michigan GOP Results thread II (search mode)
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Author Topic: Michigan GOP Results thread II  (Read 6219 times)
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Cuivienen
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Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« on: January 15, 2008, 08:50:23 PM »

Why did the other thread get locked? Did someone misclick?
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Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #1 on: January 15, 2008, 08:51:02 PM »

By the way, Uncommitted is exactly tied with Giuliani... in the GOP primary.
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Cuivienen
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*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #2 on: January 15, 2008, 09:06:41 PM »

Well, that was fast.
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Cuivienen
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*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #3 on: January 15, 2008, 09:25:37 PM »

Romney's opened a surprisingly large lead against McCain, ten points right now, and he's hit 40%.
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Cuivienen
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*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #4 on: January 15, 2008, 09:34:54 PM »

The "Who brings change?" part of the exit is interesting in that it may reflect second choices. While each candidate led their own grouping, some led it more widely than others.

Only 39% of Giuliani supporters thought Giuliani would bring needed change. 28% thought Romney would, 20% thought McCain, and 10% thought Huckabee.

79% of Huckabee supporters thought Huckabee would bring needed change. 9% thought McCain would, and 5% thought Romney.

87% of McCain supporters thought McCain would bring needed change. 7% thought Romney would.

A surprisingly low 52% of Paul supporters thought Paul would bring needed change. 18% thought Romney would, 12% thought McCain, and 9% thought Huckabee.

88% of Romney supporters thought Romney would bring needed change. No one else came above 5%.

55% of Thompson supporters thought Thompson would bring needed change. 34% said Romney would, and 5% each said Giuliani and Huckabee would.
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Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #5 on: January 15, 2008, 11:06:31 PM »

Romney now has 12 of Michigan's 30 delegates and McCain has 9.  The other 9 are still out.

This puts Romney at 42, Huckabee at 21, McCain at 19.  Romney only needs 1,149 more delegates to win the nomination.

Anybody have any clue how CNN (which I assume is your source) is assigning these delegates?

Presumably by CD, using only CDs that have all results in (or where the remaining results cannot change the overall result).
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