As of now...
The only pickups will be New Hampshire and Colorado. Net gain of two.
Who's going to defeat Mark Warner?
Oh, wow, totally forgot that one. I think I forget about it because it is so safe Dem that one would assume it currently held by a Dem incumbent. So let's revise my previous prediction:
Pickups - New Hampshire, Colorado and Virginia. Net gain of three.
I'd be interested to hear why you think Colorado is more likely to change hands than New Mexico. I'm not challenging the idea, but it seems as if Tom Udall is polling considerably more strongly than Mark Udall, and the fact that the Republicans will have a serious primary in New Mexico but not in Colorado surely can't help.