Nevada?

[Verily]

NV is going to be a pure toss up. No one in NV has ever caucused before and this will be new to them. Whoever wins IA and NH I suspect will win NV.

The point about the caucuses in Nevada being chaos is an important one. I was listening to NPR the other day talk about how they're trying to train people on how to caucus but even the leaders of the training sessions often don't know what they're doing.