Newfoundland Elections, October 9

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Apparently Williams is a Newfoundland 'nationalist' that fights for the interest of Newfies and that seems popular.

Yep. And of course his party is both the most Conservative and the most anti-(federal) Conservative party to run.

Not so conservative that Danny Williams hasn't been campaigning against Stephen Harper and the federal Conservatives since Harper took office (and has endorsed the Liberals in the next general election). That's part of the reason for his popularity; Liberals in the province see him as very acceptable as he opposes the federal Conservatives.

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A poll listed by wiki gives the PC Party 76%, Liberals 16% and NDP 7%.
Anyone got anything else? Also, what explains this huge PC popularity? The way the Premier has fought to keep oil revenues? Not that I'm complaining, on the contrary.

Any idea on the absentions\undecided voters?

I don't think I've ever seen a poll like this.. I'm merely wondering would he succeed over 50% of the population (ie. The Ultimate Mandate)

Turnout in Canadian provincial elections is typically between 50-60%, so winning an absolute majority of the eligible voting population would be essentially impossible, even with 75% of the vote.

It's also worth noting that the poll provided is fairly old, and the Liberals actually gained a seat in a by-election since it was taken. (Still, a PC landslide is more or less guaranteed.)

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Humber Valley, but I was remembering a poll from earlier in the year showing landslide PC support, not the current one from September (which I wasn't aware of). The Humber Valley by-election was back in February.

Also, the PCs have already won a seat; Liberal Clayton Hobbs withdrew a couple of days ago, so Roger Fitzgerald has been acclaimed in Bonavista South. (The NDP was not fielding a candidate.) It's the first time a candidate has been acclaimed in Canada at the provincial level in... well... a long time.

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Early results have the PCs with over 67% of the vote and leading in 28 of the 32 ridings that have begun to report. (No riding has more than a handful of votes reported so far.)

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Well, the Liberals will at least be represented. They have held Cartwright-L'Anse au Clair in Labrador. The PC vote is approaching 70% (right now 69.7-21.5-8.8, PC-Lib-NDP).

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PCs above 70% now, at 70.3%. They've been declared the winners in 21 seats to the Liberals' 1 (and NDP's none, yet).

The difference between Labrador and everywhere else is stark. In Labrador, the current results are:

PC: 43.7
LIB: 32.8
NDP: 23.8

In every other region, the PCs have at least 55% of the vote (57% in the south, nearly 80% in St John's).

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Btw, Liberal leader still trailing...

Not according to cbc: http://www.cbc.ca/nlvotes2007/riding/042

Final results have Reid losing by 7 votes. A recount will of course occur, but I think the result is unlikely to be overturned with so few votes in it to begin with.

Liberals leading by 51 votes in Port de Grave with 2 polls left. Could go either way. Otherwise:

PC: 43-44 seats (69.6%)
Lib: 2-3 seats (21.9%)
NDP: 1 seat (8.2%)

I believe 69.6% makes this (by far) the largest victory in a Canadian provincial election ever by percent of the vote. Both PEI and New Brunswick have seen clean sweeps, but with lower vote percentages.

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Liberals hold Port de Grave. Final result:

PC: 43 (+1 delayed election in a safe PC seat)
Lib: 3
NDP: 1